34233 leans slightly Republican by roughly 14 points: about 43% of voters vote Democratic and 57% Republican.
About 82% of adults in 34233 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 34233, ~35% vote Democratic, ~47% Republican, and ~18% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 34233 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 34233 leans more Republican than 15 of 24 neighbors.
Politically, 34233 sits close to the rest of Florida.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 34233. The south side is the most Republican-leaning (R+23) and the east side is the least Republican-leaning (R+10), a spread of about 13 points.
Why 34233 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 34233, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
34233 votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 96%, far above the Florida average of 57%). Here an older population outweighs the Democratic lean that density usually predicts.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with strong routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a higher rate; 34233, FL sits above the national average on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in 34233 looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. 34233 is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 67%, about 7 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.