34237 is a true toss-up. About 51% of voters here vote Democratic and 49% Republican.
About 58% of adults in 34237 typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 34237, ~30% vote Democratic, ~28% Republican, and ~42% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 34237 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 34237 sits roughly in the middle of the political spectrum, with 24 neighbors leaning further in the place's direction and 3 leaning the other way.
34237 runs about 16 points more Democratic than Florida as a whole. Florida leans Republican overall, while 34237 sits closer to the political middle.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 34237. The northwest side runs the most Democratic (D+19) and the southeast side runs the most Republican (R+13), a spread of about 31 points.
Why 34237 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 34237, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
34237 votes against the grain of Florida. Florida leans Republican overall, while 34237 runs about 16 points more Democratic.
Walkability and Democratic lean
Places with a highly walkable street grid tend to lean Democratic; 34237, FL sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in 34237 looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. 34237 is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 48% of households in 34237 rent, compared to around 26% in nearby zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.