34637 leans heavily Republican by roughly 34 points: about 33% of voters vote Democratic and 67% Republican.
About 74% of adults in 34637 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 34637, ~24% vote Democratic, ~50% Republican, and ~26% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 34637 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 34637 leans more Republican than 21 of 25 neighbors.
34637 runs about 22 points more Republican than Florida as a whole.
Why 34637 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 34637, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with many family households vote Republican. About 83% of households in 34637 are family households, about 16 points above the U.S. average of 67%.
Park access and Republican lean
Places with low park coverage tend to lean Republican; 34637, FL sits below the national average on this measure. Park access does not change how people vote; it tends to track denser, higher-income areas.
Why turnout in 34637 looks the way it does
Homeowners vote more often than renters. About 93% of households in 34637 own their home, about 22 points above the Florida average of 71%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.