38341, TN Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in 38341

38341 is a Republican stronghold. About 17% of voters here vote Democratic and 83% Republican.

 
38341, TN block-group political-lean map
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About 60% of adults in 38341 typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 38341, ~10% vote Democratic, ~50% Republican, and ~40% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

38341, TN block-group voter-turnout map
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How 38341 compares

Among zip codes within 15 miles, 38341 leans more Republican than 3 of 6 neighbors.

38341 runs about 37 points more Republican than Tennessee as a whole.

Why 38341 leans the way it does

This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 38341, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.

Areas with low college attainment vote Republican. About 10% of adults in 38341 hold a bachelor's degree, about 12 points below the Tennessee average of 22%. Rural areas vote Republican, and 38341 sits in the bottom quarter on density (about 5%, below 80% of zip codes).

Paved land cover and Republican lean

Places with little paved surface tend to lean Republican; 38341, TN sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.

Why turnout in 38341 looks the way it does

Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. 38341 is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 49%, about 7 points below the Tennessee average of 56%. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 86% of adults in 38341 have completed high school, below 79% of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

Nearby Zip Codes

Zip Codes with Similar Populations

Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Tennessee Secretary of State, Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.