38619 is a true toss-up. About 51% of voters here vote Democratic and 49% Republican.
About 58% of adults in 38619 typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 38619, ~30% vote Democratic, ~28% Republican, and ~42% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 38619 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 38619 sits roughly in the middle of the political spectrum, with 3 neighbors leaning further in the place's direction and 1 leaning the other way.
38619 runs about 26 points more Democratic than Mississippi as a whole. Mississippi leans Republican overall, while 38619 sits closer to the political middle.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 38619. The northwest side runs the most Democratic (D+47) and the southeast side runs the most Republican (R+64), a spread of about 110 points.
Why 38619 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 38619, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
38619 votes against the grain of Mississippi. Mississippi leans Republican overall, while 38619 runs about 26 points more Democratic.
Food insecurity and voter turnout
Places with high food insecurity tend to turn out at a lower rate; 38619, MS sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Food insecurity does not directly drive turnout; it reflects economic hardship, which lines up with lower voting.
Why turnout in 38619 looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. 38619 is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 6%, about 54 points below the U.S. average of 60%. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 38% of adults in 38619 report food insecurity, above 98% of zip codes. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 76% of adults in 38619 have completed high school, below 95% of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Mississippi Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.