38629 is a Republican stronghold. About 19% of voters here vote Democratic and 81% Republican.
About 69% of adults in 38629 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 38629, ~13% vote Democratic, ~56% Republican, and ~31% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 38629 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 38629 leans more Republican than 3 of 5 neighbors.
38629 runs about 39 points more Republican than Mississippi as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 38629. The southwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+84) and the northwest side is the least Republican-leaning (R+39), a spread of about 45 points.
Why 38629 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 38629, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with many family households vote Republican. About 80% of households in 38629 are family households, about 14 points above the U.S. average of 67%.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with limited routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a lower rate; 38629, MS sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in 38629 looks the way it does
Homeowners vote more often than renters. About 92% of households in 38629 own their home, about 15 points above the Mississippi average of 77%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Mississippi Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.