38646 leans heavily Democratic by roughly 42 points: about 71% of voters vote Democratic and 29% Republican.
About 69% of adults in 38646 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 38646, ~49% vote Democratic, ~20% Republican, and ~31% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 38646 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 38646 leans more Democratic than 4 of 7 neighbors.
38646 runs about 64 points more Democratic than Mississippi as a whole. Mississippi leans Republican overall, while 38646 is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 38646. The south side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+79) and the northeast side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+2), a spread of about 76 points.
Why 38646 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 38646, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
38646 votes against the grain of Mississippi. Mississippi leans Republican overall, while 38646 runs about 64 points more Democratic. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 38% of adults in 38646 have never been married, above 85% of zip codes.
Walkability and Democratic lean
Places with a highly walkable street grid tend to lean Democratic; 38646, MS sits above the national average on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in 38646 looks the way it does
Limited routine healthcare access lines up with lower turnout, and 38646 sits in the bottom quarter on routine-care measures. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Mississippi Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.