44509 leans slightly Democratic by roughly 14 points: about 57% of voters vote Democratic and 43% Republican.
About 59% of adults in 44509 typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 44509, ~34% vote Democratic, ~25% Republican, and ~41% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 44509 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 44509 leans more Democratic than 36 of 47 neighbors.
44509 runs about 26 points more Democratic than Ohio as a whole. Ohio leans Republican overall, while 44509 is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 44509. The east side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+22) and the south side is the least Democratic-leaning (Even), a spread of about 21 points.
Why 44509 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 44509, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Dense areas vote Democratic. About 95% of residents in 44509 live in densely developed areas, about 59 points above the U.S. average of 36%. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 41% of adults in 44509 have never been married, above 89% of zip codes. 44509 runs against the grain of Ohio, a Democratic-leaning pocket in a Republican-leaning state.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; 44509, OH sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in 44509 looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. 44509 is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 28% of adults in 44509 report food insecurity, above 92% of zip codes. High-crime urban areas turn out at lower rates, and 44509 sits in the top 15% on a violent-crime measure. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Ohio Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.