04530 leans Democratic by roughly 22 points: about 61% of voters vote Democratic and 39% Republican. These figures are model estimates: Maine did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the numbers above come from demographic and health features rather than local ground truth.
About 81% of adults in 04530 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 04530, ~49% vote Democratic, ~31% Republican, and ~20% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 04530 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 04530 leans more Democratic than 16 of 27 neighbors.
04530 runs about 14 points more Democratic than Maine as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 04530. The east side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+29) and the southwest side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+10), a spread of about 18 points.
Why 04530 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 04530, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with high college attainment vote Democratic. About 44% of adults in 04530 hold a bachelor's degree, about 16 points above the U.S. average of 28%.
Cancer-screening access and voter turnout
Places with high colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a higher rate; 04530, ME sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in 04530 looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. 04530 is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 64%, above 60% of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Maine Secretary of State, Bureau of Corporations Elections and Commissions, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. ME did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the figures here come from extrapolation across demographic, health, and land-use features rather than local ground truth. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.