44515 leans slightly Republican by roughly 6 points: about 47% of voters vote Democratic and 53% Republican.
About 72% of adults in 44515 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 44515, ~34% vote Democratic, ~38% Republican, and ~28% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 44515 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 44515 leans more Republican than 13 of 42 neighbors.
44515 runs about 5 points more Democratic than Ohio as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 44515. The southeast side runs the most Democratic (D+4) and the southwest side runs the most Republican (R+23), a spread of about 26 points.
Why 44515 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 44515, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
44515 votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 86%, far above the Ohio average of 34%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here.
Cancer-screening access and voter turnout
Places with high colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a higher rate; 44515, OH sits above the national average on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in 44515 looks the way it does
Turnout in 44515 sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Ohio Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.