45216 leans Democratic by roughly 30 points: about 65% of voters vote Democratic and 35% Republican.
About 58% of adults in 45216 typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 45216, ~38% vote Democratic, ~20% Republican, and ~42% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 45216 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 45216 leans more Democratic than 51 of 75 neighbors.
45216 runs about 40 points more Democratic than Ohio as a whole. Ohio leans Republican overall, while 45216 is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 45216. The south side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+41) and the southwest side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+13), a spread of about 28 points.
Why 45216 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 45216, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Dense areas vote Democratic. About 97% of residents in 45216 live in densely developed areas, about 61 points above the U.S. average of 36%. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 48% of adults in 45216 have never been married, above 94% of zip codes. 45216 runs against the grain of Ohio, a Democratic-leaning pocket in a Republican-leaning state.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; 45216, OH sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in 45216 looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. 45216 is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 50%, about 12 points below the Ohio average of 61%. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 46% of households in 45216 rent, about 21 points above the U.S. average of 25%. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 26% of adults in 45216 report food insecurity, above 90% of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Ohio Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.