45316 leans Republican by roughly 20 points: about 40% of voters vote Democratic and 60% Republican.
About 85% of adults in 45316 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 45316, ~34% vote Democratic, ~51% Republican, and ~15% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 45316 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 45316 leans more Republican than 13 of 26 neighbors.
45316 runs about 9 points more Republican than Ohio as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 45316. The northeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+43) and the east side is the least Republican-leaning (R+6), a spread of about 37 points.
Why 45316 leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in 45316. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.
Walkability and Republican lean
Places with a low walkability score tend to lean Republican; 45316, OH sits below the national average on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in 45316 looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. 45316 is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 70%, about 10 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and about 91% of households in 45316 own their home, compared to around 69% in nearby zip codes. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 98% of adults in 45316 have completed high school, above 96% of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Ohio Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.