49653 is a true toss-up. About 48% of voters here vote Democratic and 52% Republican.
About 89% of adults in 49653 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 49653, ~43% vote Democratic, ~46% Republican, and ~11% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 49653 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 49653 leans more Republican than 4 of 7 neighbors.
Politically, 49653 sits close to the rest of Michigan.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 49653. The northeast side runs the most Democratic (D+17) and the west side runs the most Republican (R+11), a spread of about 27 points.
Why 49653 leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in 49653. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.
High-school completion, developed land, and voter turnout
Places that combine high-school-completion-heavy adults and a rural land-use pattern tend to turn out at a higher rate, as 49653, MI does.
Why turnout in 49653 looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. 49653 is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 77%, about 17 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and about 91% of households in 49653 own their home, about 16 points above the U.S. average of 75%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 98% of adults in 49653 have completed high school, above 95% of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Michigan Department of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.