49895 leans Republican by roughly 26 points: about 37% of voters vote Democratic and 63% Republican.
About 58% of adults in 49895 typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 49895, ~21% vote Democratic, ~37% Republican, and ~42% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 49895 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 49895 is the most Republican-leaning.
49895 runs about 25 points more Republican than Michigan as a whole.
Why 49895 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 49895, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with low college attainment vote Republican. About 14% of adults in 49895 hold a bachelor's degree, about 12 points below the Michigan average of 26%. Rural areas vote Republican, and 49895 sits in the bottom quarter on density (about 3%, below 93% of zip codes).
Paved land cover and Republican lean
Places with little paved surface tend to lean Republican; 49895, MI sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in 49895 looks the way it does
Crowded housing lines up with lower turnout. About 5% of homes in 49895 have more than one occupant per room, above 87% of zip codes. Strong routine healthcare access lines up with higher turnout, and 49895 sits in the top quarter on routine-care measures. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Michigan Department of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.