23357 is a true toss-up. About 48% of voters here vote Democratic and 52% Republican.
About 58% of adults in 23357 typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 23357, ~28% vote Democratic, ~30% Republican, and ~42% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 23357 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 23357 leans more Republican than 4 of 25 neighbors.
23357 runs about 9 points more Republican than Virginia as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 23357. The east side runs the most Democratic (D+11) and the northwest side runs the most Republican (R+32), a spread of about 43 points.
Why 23357 leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in 23357. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.
High-school completion and voter turnout
Places with low high-school-completion share tend to turn out at a lower rate; 23357, VA sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in 23357 looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. 23357 is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 26% of adults in 23357 report food insecurity, above 90% of zip codes. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 68% of adults in 23357 have completed high school, below 98% of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Virginia Department of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.