49854 leans Republican by roughly 24 points: about 38% of voters vote Democratic and 62% Republican.
About 85% of adults in 49854 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 49854, ~32% vote Democratic, ~53% Republican, and ~15% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 49854 compares
49854 sits in a sparsely populated area with few comparable zip codes nearby.
49854 runs about 23 points more Republican than Michigan as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 49854. The east side is the most Republican-leaning (R+34) and the southeast side is the least Republican-leaning (R+17), a spread of about 17 points.
Why 49854 leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in 49854. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.
Cancer-screening access and voter turnout
Places with high colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a higher rate; 49854, MI sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in 49854 looks the way it does
Turnout in 49854 sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Michigan Department of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.