54302 leans slightly Democratic by roughly 12 points: about 56% of voters vote Democratic and 44% Republican.
About 61% of adults in 54302 typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 54302, ~34% vote Democratic, ~27% Republican, and ~39% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 54302 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 54302 leans more Democratic than 12 of 14 neighbors.
54302 runs about 13 points more Democratic than Wisconsin as a whole. Wisconsin is roughly evenly split, and 54302 sits clearly on the Democratic side.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 54302. The west side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+22) and the southwest side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+4), a spread of about 19 points.
Why 54302 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 54302, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Dense areas vote Democratic. About 95% of residents in 54302 live in densely developed areas, about 58 points above the U.S. average of 36%. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 40% of adults in 54302 have never been married, above 88% of zip codes. 54302 runs against the grain of Wisconsin, a Democratic-leaning outlier in a roughly evenly split state.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; 54302, WI sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in 54302 looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. 54302 is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 48% of households in 54302 rent, compared to around 28% in nearby zip codes. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 23% of adults in 54302 report food insecurity, above 86% of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Wisconsin Elections Commission, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.