93245 leans Republican by roughly 16 points: about 42% of voters vote Democratic and 58% Republican.
About 44% of adults in 93245 typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 93245, ~19% vote Democratic, ~26% Republican, and ~55% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 93245 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 93245 leans more Republican than 2 of 5 neighbors.
93245 runs about 36 points more Republican than California as a whole. California leans Democratic overall, while 93245 is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 93245. The northwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+49) and the east side is the least Republican-leaning (R+4), a spread of about 46 points.
Why 93245 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 93245, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
93245 votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 61%, about 25 points above the U.S. average of 36%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 80% of households in 93245 are family households, above 91% of zip codes. 93245 runs against the grain of California, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Cancer-screening access and voter turnout
Places with low colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a lower rate; 93245, CA sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in 93245 looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. 93245 is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 56% of households in 93245 rent, about 31 points above the U.S. average of 25%. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 22% of adults in 93245 report food insecurity, above 84% of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.