58353 leans Republican by roughly 22 points: about 39% of voters vote Democratic and 61% Republican.
About 53% of adults in 58353 typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 58353, ~21% vote Democratic, ~32% Republican, and ~47% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 58353 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 58353 is the least Republican-leaning.
58353 runs about 14 points more Democratic than North Dakota as a whole.
Why 58353 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 58353, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with low college attainment vote Republican. About 13% of adults in 58353 hold a bachelor's degree, about 13 points below the North Dakota average of 26%. Rural areas vote Republican, and 58353 sits in the bottom quarter on density (about 3%, below 91% of zip codes).
Population density, never-married share, and Republican lean
Places that combine low population density and a never-married-heavy adult population tend to lean Republican, as 58353, ND does.
Why turnout in 58353 looks the way it does
High-crime urban areas turn out at lower rates, mostly because the housing stress common in those areas makes voting harder. 58353 sits in the top 15% nationally on a violent-crime measure. See CrimeGrade for more details. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 35% of households in 58353 rent, above 82% of zip codes. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 76% of adults in 58353 have completed high school, below 95% of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from North Dakota Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.