58316 is a Democratic stronghold. About 77% of voters here vote Democratic and 23% Republican.
About 60% of adults in 58316 typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 58316, ~46% vote Democratic, ~14% Republican, and ~40% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 58316 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 58316 is the most Democratic-leaning.
58316 runs about 90 points more Democratic than North Dakota as a whole. North Dakota leans Republican overall, while 58316 is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 58316. The northeast side runs the most Democratic (D+65) and the southwest side runs the most Republican (R+5), a spread of about 70 points.
Why 58316 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 58316, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
58316 votes against the grain of North Dakota. North Dakota leans Republican overall, while 58316 runs about 90 points more Democratic. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 56% of adults in 58316 have never been married, above 97% of zip codes.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with limited routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a lower rate; 58316, ND sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in 58316 looks the way it does
Areas with high food insecurity turn out at lower rates. About 34% of adults in 58316 report food insecurity, about 18 points above the U.S. average of 16%. Limited routine healthcare access lines up with lower turnout, and 58316 sits in the bottom quarter on routine-care measures. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 38% of households in 58316 rent, compared to around 23% in nearby zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from North Dakota Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.