64854 is a Republican stronghold. About 24% of voters here vote Democratic and 76% Republican.
About 40% of adults in 64854 typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 64854, ~10% vote Democratic, ~30% Republican, and ~60% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 64854 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 64854 leans more Republican than 2 of 12 neighbors.
64854 runs about 33 points more Republican than Missouri as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 64854. The southeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+69) and the southwest side is the least Republican-leaning (R+46), a spread of about 24 points.
Why 64854 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 64854, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with low college attainment vote Republican. About 10% of adults in 64854 hold a bachelor's degree, about 12 points below the Missouri average of 22%.
Cancer-screening access and voter turnout
Places with low colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a lower rate; 64854, MO sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in 64854 looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. 64854 is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 43%, about 14 points below the Missouri average of 57%. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 55% of households in 64854 rent, compared to around 24% in nearby zip codes. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 31% of adults in 64854 report food insecurity, above 95% of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Missouri Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.