71845 leans Republican by roughly 26 points: about 37% of voters vote Democratic and 63% Republican.
About 44% of adults in 71845 typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 71845, ~16% vote Democratic, ~28% Republican, and ~56% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 71845 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 71845 leans more Republican than 1 of 3 neighbors.
Politically, 71845 sits close to the rest of Arkansas.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 71845. The north side is the most Republican-leaning (R+48) and the east side is the least Republican-leaning (R+14), a spread of about 34 points.
Why 71845 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 71845, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with low college attainment vote Republican. About 5% of adults in 71845 hold a bachelor's degree, about 13 points below the Arkansas average of 18%. Rural areas vote Republican, and 71845 sits in the bottom quarter on density (about 5%, below 85% of zip codes).
Paved land cover and Republican lean
Places with little paved surface tend to lean Republican; 71845, AR sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in 71845 looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. 71845 is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 47%, about 13 points below the U.S. average of 60%. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 28% of adults in 71845 report food insecurity, above 92% of zip codes. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 80% of adults in 71845 have completed high school, below 91% of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Arkansas Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.