72315 leans slightly Democratic by roughly 6 points: about 53% of voters vote Democratic and 47% Republican.
About 58% of adults in 72315 typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 72315, ~31% vote Democratic, ~27% Republican, and ~42% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 72315 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 72315 is the most Democratic-leaning.
72315 runs about 37 points more Democratic than Arkansas as a whole. Arkansas leans Republican overall, while 72315 is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 72315. The south side runs the most Democratic (D+48) and the northwest side runs the most Republican (R+38), a spread of about 86 points.
Why 72315 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 72315, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
72315 votes against the grain of Arkansas. Arkansas leans Republican overall, while 72315 runs about 37 points more Democratic.
Paved land cover and Democratic lean
Places with extensive paved surfaces tend to lean Democratic; 72315, AR sits above the national average on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in 72315 looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. 72315 is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 48%, about 12 points below the U.S. average of 60%. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 41% of households in 72315 rent, about 16 points above the U.S. average of 25%. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 26% of adults in 72315 report food insecurity, above 90% of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Arkansas Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.