75851 leans heavily Republican by roughly 46 points: about 27% of voters vote Democratic and 73% Republican.
About 40% of adults in 75851 typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 75851, ~11% vote Democratic, ~29% Republican, and ~60% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 75851 compares
75851 runs about 33 points more Republican than Texas as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 75851. The west side is the most Republican-leaning (R+76) and the south side is the least Republican-leaning (R+37), a spread of about 40 points.
Why 75851 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 75851, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with low college attainment vote Republican. About 11% of adults in 75851 hold a bachelor's degree, about 15 points below the Texas average of 26%. Rural areas vote Republican, and 75851 sits in the bottom quarter on density (about 6%, below 75% of zip codes). A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 83% of households in 75851 are family households, above 95% of zip codes.
Walkability and Republican lean
Places with a low walkability score tend to lean Republican; 75851, TX sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in 75851 looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. 75851 is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 47%, about 6 points below the Texas average of 54%. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 81% of adults in 75851 have completed high school, below 90% of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Texas Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.