76015 is a true toss-up. About 52% of voters here vote Democratic and 48% Republican.
About 47% of adults in 76015 typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 76015, ~24% vote Democratic, ~22% Republican, and ~54% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 76015 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 76015 leans more Democratic than 18 of 59 neighbors.
76015 runs about 17 points more Democratic than Texas as a whole. Texas leans Republican overall, while 76015 is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 76015. The south side runs the most Democratic (D+27) and the north side runs the most Republican (R+19), a spread of about 46 points.
Why 76015 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 76015, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
76015 votes against the grain of Texas. Texas leans Republican overall, while 76015 runs about 17 points more Democratic.
Walkability and Democratic lean
Places with a highly walkable street grid tend to lean Democratic; 76015, TX sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in 76015 looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. 76015 is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 50% of households in 76015 rent, about 25 points above the U.S. average of 25%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Texas Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.