79407 leans heavily Republican by roughly 32 points: about 34% of voters vote Democratic and 66% Republican.
About 54% of adults in 79407 typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 79407, ~18% vote Democratic, ~36% Republican, and ~46% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 79407 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 79407 leans more Republican than 12 of 19 neighbors.
79407 runs about 18 points more Republican than Texas as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 79407. The northwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+64) and the north side is the least Republican-leaning (R+11), a spread of about 53 points.
Why 79407 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 79407, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
79407 votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 71%, far above the Texas average of 35%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with limited routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a lower rate; 79407, TX sits below the national average on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in 79407 looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. 79407 is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 49% of households in 79407 rent, about 24 points above the U.S. average of 25%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Texas Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.