32751 leans slightly Democratic by roughly 6 points: about 53% of voters vote Democratic and 47% Republican.
About 74% of adults in 32751 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 32751, ~39% vote Democratic, ~35% Republican, and ~26% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 32751 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 32751 leans more Democratic than 20 of 42 neighbors.
32751 runs about 18 points more Democratic than Florida as a whole. Florida leans Republican overall, while 32751 is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 32751. The southwest side runs the most Democratic (D+38) and the north side runs the most Republican (R+7), a spread of about 46 points.
Why 32751 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 32751, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with high college attainment vote Democratic. About 55% of adults in 32751 hold a bachelor's degree, about 26 points above the U.S. average of 28%. Dense areas vote Democratic, and 32751 sits in the top fifth on density (about 81%, above 83% of zip codes). A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 35% of adults in 32751 have never been married, above 80% of zip codes.
Walkability and Democratic lean
Places with a highly walkable street grid tend to lean Democratic; 32751, FL sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in 32751 looks the way it does
Areas with high high-school completion turn out at higher rates. About 96% of adults in 32751 have completed high school, about 7 points above the Florida average of 89%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.