12047 leans slightly Democratic by roughly 14 points: about 57% of voters vote Democratic and 43% Republican.
About 62% of adults in 12047 typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 12047, ~35% vote Democratic, ~27% Republican, and ~38% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 12047 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 12047 leans more Democratic than 28 of 53 neighbors.
Politically, 12047 sits close to the rest of New York.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 12047. The northeast side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+24) and the west side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+7), a spread of about 17 points.
Why 12047 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 12047, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Dense areas vote Democratic. About 77% of residents in 12047 live in densely developed areas, about 41 points above the U.S. average of 36%. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 40% of adults in 12047 have never been married, above 87% of zip codes.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; 12047, NY sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in 12047 looks the way it does
Renters vote less often than owners. About 51% of households in 12047 rent, about 26 points above the U.S. average of 25%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.