84512 leans Democratic by roughly 16 points: about 58% of voters vote Democratic and 42% Republican.
About 52% of adults in 84512 typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 84512, ~30% vote Democratic, ~22% Republican, and ~48% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 84512 compares
84512 runs about 38 points more Democratic than Utah as a whole. Utah leans Republican overall, while 84512 is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 84512. The east side runs the most Democratic (D+39) and the northwest side runs the most Republican (R+53), a spread of about 93 points.
Why 84512 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 84512, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
84512 votes against the grain of Utah. Utah leans Republican overall, while 84512 runs about 38 points more Democratic. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 47% of adults in 84512 have never been married, above 93% of zip codes.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with limited routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a lower rate; 84512, UT sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in 84512 looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. 84512 is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 38% of adults in 84512 report food insecurity, above 98% of zip codes. High-crime urban areas turn out at lower rates, and 84512 sits in the top 15% on a violent-crime measure. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Utah Lieutenant Governor's Office, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.