85536 is a Republican stronghold. About 16% of voters here vote Democratic and 84% Republican.
About 47% of adults in 85536 typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 85536, ~8% vote Democratic, ~39% Republican, and ~53% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 85536 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 85536 leans more Republican than 2 of 3 neighbors.
85536 runs about 62 points more Republican than Arizona as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 85536. The northeast side runs the most Democratic (D+54) and the west side runs the most Republican (R+76), a spread of about 130 points.
Why 85536 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 85536, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural areas vote Republican. Fewer than 1% of residents in 85536 live in densely developed areas, about 38 points below the Arizona average of 39%. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 90% of households in 85536 are family households, in the top fraction of zip codes.
Population density and Republican lean
Places with low population density tend to lean Republican; 85536, AZ sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in 85536 looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. 85536 is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Crowded housing lines up with lower turnout, and about 15% of homes in 85536 have more than one occupant per room, above 98% of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Arizona Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.