86032 is a Republican stronghold. About 16% of voters here vote Democratic and 84% Republican.
About 40% of adults in 86032 typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 86032, ~6% vote Democratic, ~34% Republican, and ~60% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 86032 compares
86032 runs about 63 points more Republican than Arizona as a whole.
Why 86032 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 86032, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural areas vote Republican. Fewer than 1% of residents in 86032 live in densely developed areas, about 38 points below the Arizona average of 39%. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 82% of households in 86032 are family households, above 95% of zip codes.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with limited routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a lower rate; 86032, AZ sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in 86032 looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. 86032 is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 23% of adults in 86032 report food insecurity, above 85% of zip codes. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 98% of adults in 86032 have completed high school, above 94% of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Arizona Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.