87021 leans slightly Republican by roughly 10 points: about 45% of voters vote Democratic and 55% Republican.
About 65% of adults in 87021 typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 87021, ~29% vote Democratic, ~36% Republican, and ~35% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 87021 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 87021 is the least Republican-leaning.
87021 runs about 15 points more Republican than New Mexico as a whole. New Mexico leans Democratic overall, while 87021 is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 87021. The south side runs the most Democratic (D+4) and the northeast side runs the most Republican (R+27), a spread of about 30 points.
Why 87021 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 87021, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Car-dependent areas vote Republican. About 89% of residents in 87021 drive to work alone, about 15 points above the U.S. average of 74%. Low college attainment predicts Republican voting, and 87021 sits in the bottom quarter (about 8%, below 96% of zip codes). 87021 runs against the grain of New Mexico, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Non-English at home and voter turnout
Places with a low non-English-at-home share tend to turn out at a higher rate; 87021, NM sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in 87021 looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. 87021 is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New Mexico Secretary of State, Bureau of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.