87045 leans Democratic by roughly 22 points: about 61% of voters vote Democratic and 39% Republican.
About 55% of adults in 87045 typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 87045, ~34% vote Democratic, ~21% Republican, and ~45% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 87045 compares
87045 sits in a sparsely populated area with few comparable zip codes nearby.
87045 runs about 16 points more Democratic than New Mexico as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 87045. The west side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+29) and the southeast side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+11), a spread of about 18 points.
Why 87045 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 87045, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with many never-married adults vote Democratic. About 41% of adults in 87045 have never been married, modestly above similar-sized zip codes (around 28%).
High-school completion, uninsured rate, and voter turnout
Places that combine low high-school-completion share and a high uninsured rate tend to turn out at a lower rate, as 87045, NM does.
Why turnout in 87045 looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. 87045 is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 36%, about 22 points below the New Mexico average of 58%. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 58% of adults in 87045 report food insecurity, in the top fraction of zip codes. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 60% of adults in 87045 have completed high school, in the bottom fraction of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New Mexico Secretary of State, Bureau of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.