87051 leans heavily Republican by roughly 44 points: about 28% of voters vote Democratic and 72% Republican.
About 42% of adults in 87051 typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 87051, ~12% vote Democratic, ~30% Republican, and ~58% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 87051 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 87051 is the most Republican-leaning.
87051 runs about 51 points more Republican than New Mexico as a whole. New Mexico leans Democratic overall, while 87051 is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why 87051 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 87051, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
87051 votes against the grain of New Mexico. New Mexico leans Democratic overall, while 87051 runs about 51 points more Republican. Rural areas vote Republican, and 87051 sits in the bottom quarter on density (fewer than 1%, in the bottom fraction of zip codes). A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and more than 99% of households in 87051 are family households, in the top fraction of zip codes.
Paved land cover and Republican lean
Places with little paved surface tend to lean Republican; 87051, NM sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in 87051 looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. 87051 is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 80% of adults in 87051 have completed high school, below 91% of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New Mexico Secretary of State, Bureau of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.