87412 is a Republican stronghold. About 25% of voters here vote Democratic and 75% Republican.
About 66% of adults in 87412 typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 87412, ~17% vote Democratic, ~49% Republican, and ~34% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 87412 compares
87412 sits in a sparsely populated area with few comparable zip codes nearby.
87412 runs about 57 points more Republican than New Mexico as a whole. New Mexico leans Democratic overall, while 87412 is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 87412. The east side runs the most Democratic (D+38) and the northwest side runs the most Republican (R+60), a spread of about 98 points.
Why 87412 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 87412, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
87412 votes against the grain of New Mexico. New Mexico leans Democratic overall, while 87412 runs about 57 points more Republican. Rural areas vote Republican, and 87412 sits in the bottom quarter on density (about 2%, below 96% of zip codes).
Population density and Republican lean
Places with low population density tend to lean Republican; 87412, NM sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in 87412 looks the way it does
Homeowners vote more often than renters. About 92% of households in 87412 own their home, about 12 points above the New Mexico average of 80%. Limited routine healthcare access lines up with lower turnout, and 87412 sits in the bottom quarter on routine-care measures. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New Mexico Secretary of State, Bureau of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.