87418 is a Republican stronghold. About 22% of voters here vote Democratic and 78% Republican.
About 65% of adults in 87418 typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 87418, ~14% vote Democratic, ~51% Republican, and ~35% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 87418 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 87418 leans more Republican than 4 of 5 neighbors.
87418 runs about 63 points more Republican than New Mexico as a whole. New Mexico leans Democratic overall, while 87418 is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why 87418 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 87418, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural areas vote Republican. Fewer than 1% of residents in 87418 live in densely developed areas, about 17 points below the New Mexico average of 18%. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 85% of households in 87418 are family households, above 97% of zip codes. 87418 runs against the grain of New Mexico, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Population density and Republican lean
Places with low population density tend to lean Republican; 87418, NM sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in 87418 looks the way it does
Areas with high high-school completion turn out at higher rates. About 96% of adults in 87418 have completed high school, about 9 points above the New Mexico average of 87%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New Mexico Secretary of State, Bureau of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.