87801 is a true toss-up. About 52% of voters here vote Democratic and 48% Republican.
About 62% of adults in 87801 typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 87801, ~32% vote Democratic, ~30% Republican, and ~38% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 87801 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 87801 is the most Democratic-leaning.
Politically, 87801 sits close to the rest of New Mexico.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 87801. The southwest side runs the most Democratic (D+10) and the northeast side runs the most Republican (R+7), a spread of about 17 points.
Why 87801 leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in 87801. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; 87801, NM sits above the national average on this measure.
Why turnout in 87801 looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. 87801 is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New Mexico Secretary of State, Bureau of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.