88045 leans slightly Republican by roughly 12 points: about 44% of voters vote Democratic and 56% Republican.
About 62% of adults in 88045 typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 88045, ~27% vote Democratic, ~35% Republican, and ~38% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 88045 compares
88045 runs about 18 points more Republican than New Mexico as a whole. New Mexico leans Democratic overall, while 88045 is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 88045. The south side runs the most Democratic (D+5) and the west side runs the most Republican (R+55), a spread of about 60 points.
Why 88045 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 88045, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Car-dependent areas vote Republican. About 85% of residents in 88045 drive to work alone, about 11 points above the U.S. average of 74%. Low college attainment predicts Republican voting, and 88045 sits in the bottom quarter (about 14%, below 83% of zip codes). 88045 runs against the grain of New Mexico, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with limited routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a lower rate; 88045, NM sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in 88045 looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. 88045 is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The uninsured rate here is about 23%, about 7 points above the New Mexico average of 16%. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 29% of adults in 88045 report food insecurity, above 93% of zip codes. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 86% of adults in 88045 have completed high school, below 77% of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New Mexico Secretary of State, Bureau of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.