92582 leans slightly Republican by roughly 8 points: about 46% of voters vote Democratic and 54% Republican.
About 49% of adults in 92582 typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 92582, ~23% vote Democratic, ~26% Republican, and ~51% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 92582 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 92582 leans more Republican than 7 of 16 neighbors.
92582 runs about 28 points more Republican than California as a whole. California leans Democratic overall, while 92582 is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 92582. The northwest side is the most split-leaning (R+26) and the southeast side is the least split-leaning (Even), a spread of about 26 points.
Why 92582 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 92582, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
92582 votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 62%, about 26 points above the U.S. average of 36%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 86% of households in 92582 are family households, above 98% of zip codes. 92582 runs against the grain of California, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Cancer-screening access and voter turnout
Places with low colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a lower rate; 92582, CA sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in 92582 looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. 92582 is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 24% of adults in 92582 report food insecurity, above 87% of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.