92841 is a true toss-up. About 50% of voters here vote Democratic and 50% Republican.
About 48% of adults in 92841 typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 92841, ~24% vote Democratic, ~24% Republican, and ~52% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 92841 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 92841 sits roughly in the middle of the political spectrum, with 78 neighbors leaning further in the place's direction and 22 leaning the other way.
92841 runs about 21 points more Republican than California as a whole. California leans Democratic overall, while 92841 sits closer to the political middle.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 92841. The southwest side runs the most Democratic (D+8) and the south side runs the most Republican (R+6), a spread of about 14 points.
Why 92841 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 92841, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
92841 votes against the grain of California. California leans Democratic overall, while 92841 runs about 21 points more Republican.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with limited routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a lower rate; 92841, CA sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in 92841 looks the way it does
Areas with high food insecurity turn out at lower rates. About 23% of adults in 92841 report food insecurity, about 7 points above the U.S. average of 16%. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 46% of households in 92841 rent, about 21 points above the U.S. average of 25%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.