92844 is a true toss-up. About 48% of voters here vote Democratic and 52% Republican.
About 43% of adults in 92844 typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 92844, ~21% vote Democratic, ~22% Republican, and ~57% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 92844 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 92844 leans more Republican than 80 of 97 neighbors.
92844 runs about 24 points more Republican than California as a whole. California leans Democratic overall, while 92844 is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 92844. The north side runs the most Democratic (Even) and the southeast side runs the most Republican (R+11), a spread of about 11 points.
Why 92844 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 92844, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
92844 votes against the grain of California. California leans Democratic overall, while 92844 runs about 24 points more Republican.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with limited routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a lower rate; 92844, CA sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in 92844 looks the way it does
Renters vote less often than owners. About 57% of households in 92844 rent, about 32 points above the U.S. average of 25%. Limited routine healthcare access lines up with lower turnout, and 92844 sits in the bottom quarter on routine-care measures. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 26% of adults in 92844 report food insecurity, above 90% of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.