92868 leans Democratic by roughly 20 points: about 60% of voters vote Democratic and 40% Republican.
About 48% of adults in 92868 typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 92868, ~29% vote Democratic, ~19% Republican, and ~52% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 92868 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 92868 leans more Democratic than 72 of 86 neighbors.
Politically, 92868 sits close to the rest of California.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 92868. The northwest side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+27) and the north side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+12), a spread of about 16 points.
Why 92868 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 92868, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Dense areas vote Democratic. More than 99% of residents in 92868 live in densely developed areas, about 64 points above the U.S. average of 36%. High college attainment predicts Democratic voting, and 92868 sits in the top quarter (about 36%, above 76% of zip codes). A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 46% of adults in 92868 have never been married, above 93% of zip codes.
Walkability and Democratic lean
Places with a highly walkable street grid tend to lean Democratic; 92868, CA sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in 92868 looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. 92868 is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 67% of households in 92868 rent, about 42 points above the U.S. average of 25%. Crowded housing lines up with lower turnout, and about 14% of homes in 92868 have more than one occupant per room, above 98% of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.