95986 leans slightly Democratic by roughly 6 points: about 53% of voters vote Democratic and 47% Republican.
About 69% of adults in 95986 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 95986, ~36% vote Democratic, ~32% Republican, and ~32% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 95986 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 95986 leans more Democratic than 7 of 8 neighbors.
95986 runs about 15 points more Republican than California as a whole.
Why 95986 leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in 95986. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.
Never-married share, developed land, and voter turnout
Places that combine a low never-married share and a rural land-use pattern tend to turn out at a higher rate, as 95986, CA does.
Why turnout in 95986 looks the way it does
Homeowners vote more often than renters. About 88% of households in 95986 own their home, about 26 points above the California average of 62%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.