96058 leans Republican by roughly 22 points: about 39% of voters vote Democratic and 61% Republican.
About 32% of adults in 96058 typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 96058, ~13% vote Democratic, ~19% Republican, and ~68% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 96058 compares
96058 runs about 43 points more Republican than California as a whole. California leans Democratic overall, while 96058 is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 96058. The east side is the most Republican-leaning (R+26) and the south side is the least Republican-leaning (R+16), a spread of about 10 points.
Why 96058 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 96058, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
96058 votes against the grain of California. California leans Democratic overall, while 96058 runs about 43 points more Republican. Rural areas vote Republican, and 96058 sits in the bottom quarter on density (about 3%, below 94% of zip codes). A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 75% of households in 96058 are family households, above 78% of zip codes.
Population density, never-married share, and Republican lean
Places that combine low population density and a never-married-heavy adult population tend to lean Republican, as 96058, CA does.
Why turnout in 96058 looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. 96058 is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 29% of adults in 96058 report food insecurity, above 93% of zip codes. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 69% of adults in 96058 have completed high school, below 98% of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.