96133 leans slightly Republican by roughly 8 points: about 46% of voters vote Democratic and 54% Republican.
About 60% of adults in 96133 typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 96133, ~28% vote Democratic, ~32% Republican, and ~40% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 96133 compares
96133 sits in a sparsely populated area with few comparable zip codes nearby.
96133 runs about 28 points more Republican than California as a whole. California leans Democratic overall, while 96133 is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why 96133 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 96133, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with many family households vote Republican. About 81% of households in 96133 are family households, about 14 points above the U.S. average of 67%. Rural areas vote Republican, and 96133 sits in the bottom quarter on density (about 2%, below 97% of zip codes). 96133 runs against the grain of California, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Population density and Republican lean
Places with low population density tend to lean Republican; 96133, CA sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in 96133 looks the way it does
Renters vote less often than owners. About 95% of households in 96133 rent, about 70 points above the U.S. average of 25%. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 57% of adults in 96133 have completed high school, in the bottom fraction of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.