97049 leans slightly Democratic by roughly 6 points: about 53% of voters vote Democratic and 47% Republican.
About 78% of adults in 97049 typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 97049, ~41% vote Democratic, ~37% Republican, and ~22% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 97049 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 97049 leans more Democratic than 3 of 4 neighbors.
97049 runs about 8 points more Republican than Oregon as a whole.
Why 97049 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 97049, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with high college attainment vote Democratic. About 41% of adults in 97049 hold a bachelor's degree, about 12 points above the U.S. average of 28%.
Park access and Democratic lean
Places with heavy park coverage tend to lean Democratic; 97049, OR sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Park access does not change how people vote; it tends to track denser, higher-income areas.
Why turnout in 97049 looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. 97049 is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 70%, about 10 points above the U.S. average of 60%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and more than 99% of adults in 97049 have completed high school, in the top fraction of zip codes. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Oregon Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.