58204 leans heavily Republican by roughly 32 points: about 34% of voters vote Democratic and 66% Republican.
About 38% of adults in 58204 typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 58204, ~13% vote Democratic, ~25% Republican, and ~62% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 58204 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 58204 leans more Republican than 3 of 9 neighbors.
58204 runs about 5 points more Democratic than North Dakota as a whole.
Why 58204 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 58204, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with many family households vote Republican. About 84% of households in 58204 are family households, about 17 points above the U.S. average of 67%. Dense places usually vote Democratic, but 58204 runs against that pattern.
Park access and Republican lean
Places with low park coverage tend to lean Republican; 58204, ND sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Park access does not change how people vote; it tends to track denser, higher-income areas.
Why turnout in 58204 looks the way it does
Renters vote less often than owners. About 98% of households in 58204 rent, about 73 points above the U.S. average of 25%. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 99% of adults in 58204 have completed high school, above 98% of zip codes. High-crime urban areas turn out at lower rates, and 58204 sits in the top 15% on a violent-crime measure. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from North Dakota Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.