97712 leans heavily Republican by roughly 34 points: about 33% of voters vote Democratic and 67% Republican.
About 33% of adults in 97712 typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 97712, ~11% vote Democratic, ~22% Republican, and ~67% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 97712 compares
97712 runs about 49 points more Republican than Oregon as a whole. Oregon leans Democratic overall, while 97712 is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 97712. The southeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+67) and the north side is the least Republican-leaning (R+28), a spread of about 39 points.
Why 97712 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 97712, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
97712 votes against the grain of Oregon. Oregon leans Democratic overall, while 97712 runs about 49 points more Republican. Rural areas with a high white share vote Republican. Non-Hispanic white share in 97712 is about 94%, well above similar-sized zip codes (around 66%). A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 74% of households in 97712 are family households, above 77% of zip codes.
Population density and Republican lean
Places with low population density tend to lean Republican; 97712, OR sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in 97712 looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. 97712 is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 75%, about 15 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Oregon Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.