98233 is a true toss-up. About 49% of voters here vote Democratic and 51% Republican.
About 67% of adults in 98233 typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 98233, ~33% vote Democratic, ~34% Republican, and ~33% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 98233 compares
Among zip codes within 15 miles, 98233 sits roughly in the middle of the political spectrum, with 4 neighbors leaning further in the place's direction and 5 leaning the other way.
98233 runs about 19 points more Republican than Washington as a whole. Washington leans Democratic overall, while 98233 sits closer to the political middle.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 98233. The south side runs the most Democratic (D+7) and the north side runs the most Republican (R+18), a spread of about 25 points.
Why 98233 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 98233, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
98233 votes against the grain of Washington. Washington leans Democratic overall, while 98233 runs about 19 points more Republican.
Non-English at home and voter turnout
Places with a low non-English-at-home share tend to turn out at a higher rate; 98233, WA sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in 98233 looks the way it does
Turnout in 98233 sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Washington Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.