98283 leans Republican by roughly 18 points: about 41% of voters vote Democratic and 59% Republican.
About 62% of adults in 98283 typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in 98283, ~25% vote Democratic, ~37% Republican, and ~38% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How 98283 compares
98283 sits in a sparsely populated area with few comparable zip codes nearby.
98283 runs about 37 points more Republican than Washington as a whole. Washington leans Democratic overall, while 98283 is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within 98283. The southwest side is the most split-leaning (R+20) and the east side is the least split-leaning (Even), a spread of about 20 points.
Why 98283 leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per zip code to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for 98283, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural areas vote Republican. About 1% of residents in 98283 live in densely developed areas, about 39 points below the Washington average of 41%. Low college attainment predicts Republican voting, and 98283 sits in the bottom quarter (about 14%, below 83% of zip codes). 98283 runs against the grain of Washington, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Population density and Republican lean
Places with low population density tend to lean Republican; 98283, WA sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in 98283 looks the way it does
Turnout in 98283 sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Zip Codes
Zip Codes with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Washington Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.